Time Series Forecasting

Offline Neural Architecture Search for Time Series Forecasting

  • NeuroEvolution Neural Architecture Search to Design Efficient RNNs for Time Series Forecasting (Implemented on EXAMM)
  • Efficient time series forecasting can help make informed decisions in various industries, such as finance, energy, and manufacturing.
  • Distributed population repopulation for efficient search
  • Integrated into coal fired power plant management system and saved $7.3 million on revenue loss
  • Evolved lightweight RNNs that can achieve state-of-the-art Transformer performance for stock forecasting
  • Neural architecture search designed RNNs can reach samiliar performance as attention-based Transformer models
  • Example of EXAMM generated RNN for stock forecasting An example of EXAMM generated RNN for stock forecasting
  • Call for collaboration: time series analysis on edge devices and on other real-world applications

Online Neural Architecture Search for Time Series Forecasting

  • The first online neural architecture search for real time RNN evolution and training.
  • RNNs are dynamically generated and trained online without requiring pre-training.
  • The models adapt to perform real-time predictions on datasets with data shift.
  • Successfully deployed on raw wind turbine engine data streams.
  • ONE-NAS Flowchart ONE-NAS Flowchart

Minimally Supervised Learning with Topological Projections

Classification -- Determine Flight Phases of General Aviation Data

  • A lot of real-world datsets are unlabeled, labeling them can be time and cost expensive.
  • Real-world, large-scale, unlabeled data
  • Class imbalance problem
  • Use minimum number of labels for phase of flight classification
  • Minimally Supervised Learning with Self Organizing Maps (MS-SOM) -- Classification Minimally Supervised Learning with Self Organizing Maps (MS-SOM) -- Classification

Regression -- Coal Property Estimation

  • To require coal property values, coal samples need to be collected and tested in lab. Which is expensive and hard to get during COVID.
  • This is novel approach as most of the minimally supervised learning problems are classification problems.
  • Minimally Supervised Learning with Self Organizing Maps (MS-SOM) -- Regression Minimally Supervised Learning with Self Organizing Maps (MS-SOM) -- Regression